Hello, everybody! First, I want to apologize for not writing my NFL article last week. I have been very busy with school, including my senior capstone project, but that is no excuse to give out my weekly picks! From now on, every week, with the exception of Thanksgiving week, I will produce an NFL betting picks article.
We have some intriguing matchups and some really high spreads this week. Especially with the L.A. Rams, who had burned bettors for the first three weeks of the year and have seen their spreads rise dramatically. My Chicago Bears are back in action, hoping to get a win in Miami, where it is always difficult to play because of the humidity. But without a further ado, let’s get to my Week 6 picks!
- Indianapolis Colts (+2) at New York Jets: I really like the Colts to win this game outright on the road vs the Jets. Look, the Jets looked great last week, but it was against a Broncos team that over the last few seasons, has been poor on the road in early Sunday games. Also in this matchup, there is a clear and obvious quarterback mismatch. Colts quarterback Andrew Luck, in my opinion, is much better than rookie Sam Darnold. Darnold, who has shown promise in his rookie year, needs a heavy running game in order to be successful. Surprisingly the Colts have been very underrated on defense this year. Also, the Colts have had an extra three days of rest, since they played last Thursday last week. Colts win in a close one. Colts 23, Jets 20
- Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) at Dallas Cowboys: I really like the Jaguars to go to Dallas and beat the Cowboys convincingly. Jacksonville was embarrassed last week in Kansas City, and the defense will want to show that last week was an aberration. I also think Jags QB Blake Bortles bounces back from his four-interception game last week. Meanwhile, for Dallas, their offense is one of the most boring and ineffective offenses in the league. Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott has really struggled this year, and now he is going up against one of the best secondaries in the NFL. The Jaguars bounce back in a convincing effort here in which the defense takes over the game. Jaguars 19, Cowboys 10
- Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans (+3): This is my favorite pick of the week, in what should be a really low scoring game. Baltimore is a totally different team at home than they are on the road. Especially against good defenses, in their games at Cincy and Cleveland, the Ravens offense really struggled to get any type of momentum for much of the game. For Tennessee, first-year coach Mike Vrabel has done a really good job of getting the most out of his team. They have relied on a real defense which allows the offense time during the game to figure things out. I really like getting points in what should be a very close game. I’m hoping that Titans quarterback Marcus Mariota can make a few plays outside of the pocket with his legs. The Titans win a close one. Ravens 16, Titans 20
- Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5): I am taking the Bengals to win this crucial division game and put the Steelers in a tough spot going forward. I was surprised the spread for this game wasn’t more in favor of the Bengals, but Vegas is probably reacting to the Bengals struggling for three quarters against the Dolphins and the Steelers blowing out an Atlanta team that has been decimated by injuries. Pittsburgh has struggled all year on defense and on offense too, so I think there is a slight overreaction to their win over the Falcons. Cincy, who has looked solid on offense and defense, will have running back Joe Mixon on regular snap counts, which is huge for the Bengals offense. I think we could potentially see a shootout in this game, as both offenses have a lot of explosive playmakers. I’ll take the Bengals at home in a close game. Steelers 31, Bengals 34
- Kansas City (+3.5) at New England Patriots: I really like the Chiefs getting three and a half points at New England. In my opinion, is that Patriots coach Bill Belichick isn’t going to use his best plays or schemes to win this game. We’ve seen this throughout the Belichick era when Belichick thinks he will be playing a team later in the year during the playoffs, he doesn’t throw the game, but he doesn’t go for it all. We saw this in their game against Jacksonville earlier this year, when it was obvious that the Patriots had a very conservative game plan. For Kansas City, I think they have the type of fast skill players that can expose the Patriots slow defense. I like Kansas City to win in a shootout on Sunday Night Football. Chiefs 35, Patriots 34